Hawaii Ali’iAlii

2017 Season Instructions

 

Welcome to Hawaii baseball in 2017! A couple of years ago I thought I was engineering a team built on solid pitching and run generation but things seemed to turn out differently. Instead the offense is pretty much station-to-station with lots of power (40+ Diamonds in all but one line-up configuration) with little to no fundamentals on strategy which should make your “away managing” job a bit easier. There are not a lot of lefties in the starting line-up so they are a bit of a precious commodity when considering substitutions.

On the pitching side of things I think the key will be using the bullpen effectively. I do not have any visions of any starter getting easily through the 7th unless we were fortunate to gather a big lead. They are definitely out of the game in all save situations. The back end of the bullpen should be used extensively in innings 8 and 9. The other three relievers are generally shorter term or situational guys (even mop-up) if the starter gets ripped – which I am hoping does not happen too often.

 

2017 Active Roster

Hitters


Catchers:

 

 

Starters:

 

Yadier Molina

 

 

Jon Lester

 

Miguel Montero

 

 

Zack Greinke

 

 

 

 

Matt Shoemaker

 

Infielders:

 

 

Vince Velasquez

 

Mark Trumbo

 

 

Ian Kennedy

 

Kolten Wong

 

 

 

 

Jedd Gyorko

 

 

Bullpen:

 

Jung Ho Kang

 

 

Alex Reyes

 

Eugenio Suarez

 

 

Will Smith

 

Troy Tulowitzki

 

 

Luke Gregerson

 

 

 

 

Michael Lorenzen

 

Outfielders:

 

 

Raisel Iglesias

 

Bryce Harper

 

 

Deolis Guerra

 

Gregory Polanco

 

 

 

 

Marcell Ozuna

 

 

Pitcher/Pinch Hitter:

 

Adam Duvall

 

 

Patrick Corbin

 

Jorge Soler

 

 

 

 

Minors at Hanalei Cove


(PE) Dee Gordon

 

 

Fernando Rodney

 

Scott Schebler

 

 

Jose Urena

 

 

 

 

Arodys Vizcaino

 

 

Starting Line-ups


Lineup 1 v. Left

Lineup 2 v. Left

Lineup 3 – v. R

Lineup 4 – v. R

Lineup 5 – v. R

9

Harper

9

Harper

9

Harper

9

Harper

9

Harper

5

Suarez

5

Suarez

5

Kang

8

Ozuna

8

Ozuna

8

Ozuna

8

Ozuna

3

Trumbo

3

Trumbo

3

Trumbo

2

Molina

7

Polanco

7

Polanco

5

Kang

2

Molina

6

Tulowitzki

2

Molina

2

Molina

2

Molina

5

Gyorko

7

Soler

6

Tulowitzki

8

Ozuna

4

Gyorko

7

Duvall

4

Wong (a)

4

Wong

4

Wong

7

Duvall (b)

4

Wong

3

Duvall

3

Duvall

6

Tulowitzki

6

Tulowitzki

6

Tulowitzki

VersusAll Left-handed starting pitchers not listed in Lineup 2.

Versus:  Happ, Paxton, Rusin, Matz and Wood.

Versus: Hammel, Lackey, Nicasio, Eickoff, Cole, Martinez, Nova, Phelps, Ross, DeSclafani Syndergaard, Maeda, Samardzija, Fernandez, Nola, Teheran, Bradley, Taillon, Wainwright, Cueto, Eovldi, Hernandez, and Scherzer.

Versus:  Karns, Leake, Nolasco, Degrom, Strasburg, Iwakuma, Gray, Foltynewicz, Guerra, Stripling, Rea, Koehler, Davies, Lugo, Wacha, Walker, and De La Rosa.

Versus: Roark, Wisler, Straily, Hendricks, and Chacin.

 

Notes on Lineups:

Positions / Platoons / Injuries

We really do not have too much in the way of platoons. Injury moves and back-ups are as follows:

Double-Switch Options
2B – Wong for Gyorko; and in turn Gyorko to 3B for late inning defense if situation allows
3B – When Suarez starts – Kang or Gyorko depending on your current pitcher
LF – Polanco/Duvall/Soler are options when switching out

Early Exits
The Lefty StarterSuarez departs for Kang - in small parks - if any runner is on. No other changes until after the 5th. With a big lead Duvall can stay in moving to LF with Trumbo coming in at 1B, and definitely make this move in the 7th with any lead. Nothing else to look at. After the 7th anything goes if trailing.

The Righty Starter (for a lefty reliever) - Generally stay put prior to the 7th with everyone unless we have a “key at-bat” (defined as runners on and a bad match-up at the plate) – then look to Soler or Suarez versus the LHP and match up the fielding later. In the 7th – if trailing we go with the best match-up with runners on otherwise stay put. In the 8th – if trailing we go to best match-up batter-by-batter regardless of runners on base, which most likely, are the guys that are already in.

BEST DEFENSE (in bold)


C

1B

2B

SS

3B

LF

CF

RF

Molina

Trumbo

Wong

Tulowitzki

Gyorko

Duvall

Harper

Polanco

Montero

Duvall

Gyrko

Suarez

Suarez

Ozuna

Ozuna

Ozuna

 

Gyrko

 

Gyorko

Kang

Wong

Polanco

Soler

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Managing the Ali’i

Situational Strategies

PITCHING

Pitching Rotation
                                  LOOK HERE!!!!

 

ROAD GAMES YOU PLAY

 

 

Home Games – I Play

 

Opp.

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

 

 

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

 

BAG

Lester

Greinke

Velasquez

 

 

Lester

Greinke

Velasquez

 

LVB

Lester

Greinke

Kennedy

 

 

Lester

Greinke

Kennedy

 

SBM

Lester

Velasquez

Kennedy

 

 

Lester

Velasquez

Kennedy

 

SCT

Greinke

Shoemaker

Velasquez

 

 

Shoemaker

Greinke

Velasquez

 

AZL

Lester

Greinke

Kennedy

 

 

Lester

Greinke

Kennedy

 

AUG

Greinke

Shoemaker

Velasquez

 

 

Shoemaker

Greinke

Velasquez

 

LAN

Lester

Shoemaker

Greinke

 

 

Shoemaker

Lester

Velasquez

 

HAW

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHI

Greinke

Shoemaker

Velasquez

 

 

Shoemaker

Velasquez

Kennedy

 

PBC

Lester

Shoemaker

Greinke

 

 

Shoemaker

Lester

Kennedy

 

STL

Lester

Shoemaker

Velasquez

 

 

Shoemaker

Lester

Kennedy

 

VBS

Greinke

Shoemaker

Velasquez

 

 

Shoemaker

Velasquez

Kennedy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Divisional Games – ROAD GAMES

 

Divisional Games – Home Games

Opp.

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

Game #4

 

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

Game #4

AZL

Lester

Shoemaker

Greinke

Kennedy

 

Lester

Greinke

Shoemaker

Kennedy

AUG

Lester

Shoemaker

Greinke

Velasquez

 

Lester

Greinke

Shoemaker

Velasquez

LAN

Lester

Shoemaker

Greinke

Velasquez

 

Lester

Greinke

Shoemaker

Velasquez

Starts:  Greinke - 20; Lester - 20; Shoemaker - 20; Velasquez – 18; Kennedy – 12

 

Managing the Starters

There is no real “Ace” among the starting staff. Best starter is Lester – and he is a lefty. All the starters need to be “cruising” (big leads late) in order to complete games. I will keep an eye on Velasquez’ home starts, but his 131 innings should not present an issue for his 18 starts. Most starters will be out after 6 or 7 innings. I definitely want 5 innings – but once they give up 4-5 runs, and if it is still a game (defined as being within a run or two) you are clear to go to the pen. That is the general guideline. When a pitcher “tires” they are an automatic pull.

Starter Notes:

Jon Lester (203 IP) is a solid starter but due to his lefty status he, along with the rest, will be subject to a quicker pull once we are into the 7th. He can complete games when cruising with a big lead, but I do not want him to face a “lefty masher” late in the game if the tying run is on deck. His “+8” hold rating is troublesome but his 10 DP’s on the card may force a few decisions on your part. Patience early as his card values should allow him to go deeper in games, but do not let it get away in the latter third of the game.

Zach Greinke (159 IP) is not the Zach Greinke of 2016. Do not expect him to go deep into games as he is a bit prone to the “big fly”. You can really tell the difficulty he faced – dropping to a #3 hitter this year. He has enough strikeouts where you might see him complete 7 innings and if he does, he can leave with that lead – no need to go further unless up by 4 or more runs. As with the overview instruction above, he can be pulled once he gives up 4-5 runs and an automatic pull when tired.

Matt Shoemaker (160 IP) not that much different than Greinke. Going 6 to 7 innings is a good outing. He can start the 8th with a lead of 4 runs or more, but quick hook if a runner or two gets on and never faces the potential winning run in the 7th, or the tying run in the 8th or 9th. An automatic pull when tired.

Vince Velasquez (131 IP) also similar to Greinke and Shoemaker, but the strikeouts may keep him in the game a little longer. Still, going 6 innings is a good outing. He can start the 7th with a lead of 4 runs or more, but quick hook if a runner or two gets on and never faces the tying run in the 7th or tying run on deck after that. An automatic pull when tired.

Ian Kennedy (196 IP) is the “back-end” starter. Because he will generally pitch in larger parks he might be able to go 7 innings however as his road starts will be as the “3rd starter”, he should be limited to 6 to 7 innings. Seven innings is definitely the “max” with any lead as he is to prone to giving up a bunch of HR’s. An automatic pull when tired. And if he is giving up runs (4 or 5) with a healthy bullpen, then pull before he gets tired.

 

Managing the Bullpen

Carrying 12 pitchers this year though “12” (Patrick Corbin) is actually a designated pinch-hitter and the specific instruction IF he sees the pitcher’s mound is below. Generally speaking if we have a lead late in the game we want to see our bullpen in the game, and definitely go to the pen in the 8th in all save situations unless we are working a shutout – then it is batter-by-batter” and in other words, once someone gets on in that situation you can pull the starter. Using 4 relievers in a game is probably more the norm than it is the exception – we can go a batter or two at a time.

Starters should get us through or at least into the 6th most of the time where you can mix and match short work relievers. You are going to have to “work” the bullpen – that is where a lot of your “away Manager decisions” are going to be important for Hawaii. Be aware of what relievers you use early in the series so we still have reasonable “options” in Game 3 (or 4).

Bullpen Notes:

Alex Reyes (46 IP) is the “Closer” and should be in the game in the 9th for all save situations. He can come in the 8th to retire an out to bridge us into the 9th (look for a double switch) but most often he will just start the 9th. Alex gets to pitch in 2017 than spend time in Hanalei while heading to the DL in 2018.

Luke Gregerson (58 IP) is the principal set-up guy and alternate closer if Reyes is unavailable. Depending on your line-up he and Will Smith alternate as the 8th inning guy when the game is close or bridging to a save situation. Pitches only the 8th or comes in to get an out in the 7th. I prefer Guerra to face a one-batter lefty if needed. It is possible you use all three in the 7th/8th, or even just the 8th (Smith, Gregerson, or Guerra).

Will Smith (40 IP) is the lefty counter to Gregerson. Tough on righties he pitches in the 7th or 8th “situationally” or to get to the closer. Does not pitch more than one inning in a game, and not more than 1.2 innings in a series.

Raisel Iglesias (78 IP) is the closer in waiting but this year will be long relief against predominant righty line-ups. He can be used at any time and serves as an alternate set-up guy if Gregerson is unable to pitch. With his 78 innings he can also be late-inning mop-up in blow outs. Again, he can be used at any time.

Michael Lorenzen (50 IP) is tougher against the lefty but can go against either the lefty or righty, but use care in small parks against a righty. Generally pitches innings 5-8, but not versus a righty in small parks in the 8th in close games.

Deolis Guerra (53 IP) is pretty much a specialist against the lefty hitter. He can extend his work where 2 out of the next three hitters are lefty. Better options are out there to face a righty in a small park if the game is close. He is the “mop up” in blow out situations. We generally see him pitch in innings 4-7, maybe to see one lefty batter or so in the 8th.

 

Patrick Corbin (IP Does Not Matter) is my best pinch-hitter and should RARELY see the pitcher’s mound. He will pitch in ONLY two situations: (1) to face one lefty batter – either for the third out in an inning (and please do not double switch unless it is to get him an AB…) or to be able to get the lead-off lefty in the bottom half after he pinch-hits; or (2) mopping up a blow-out loss (in this case I define as being down by 7 runs or more AFTER the 7th) as you do not need to pinch-hit for him.

 

Have fun and let me know if any questions!

Aloha!

Jim

2016 Awards:

2016 PCL Champion:

Santa Barbara Mooners

 

 

2016 MVP Voting:

MVP: B. Harper, LVB

Cy Young: J. Arriera, STL

2016 ALL STARS:

C: B. Posey, PBC

1b: J. Votto, AZL

2b: D. Gordon, STL

SS: Tie: B. Crawford, PBC; J. Peralta, AGN

3b: J. Kang, HAW

OF: B. Harper, LVB

OF: M. Trout, SCT

OF: R. Grichuk, SCT

Manager: Eric

GM: Mike

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