2019 Instructions

Peb got to a play-in game for the last wild card spot…and lost. Lots of bad contracts cut into the auction budget, but I like our pitching, especially Nola and closer Treinen. We are going to need the hurlers to step up, and we use multiple relievers to maximize matchup advantages (I have 7-8 relievers at any given time), and get the occasional bops to have a chance this year, and there is definitely some distance from SC down to the Crooners in the West.  Wild card?

Hitting

Starting Line-ups


Lineup 1, vs. L

Lineup 2, vs. L

 

Lineup 4, vs. R

Lineup 5, vs. R

Lineup 6, vs. R

 6

Segura

6

Segura

 

 

9

Happ

6

Segura

6

Segura

 9

Nimmo

7

Anderson

 

 

6

Segura

9

Nimmo

9

Santana

 3

Aguilera

3

Aguilera

 

 

8

Nimmo

8

Pollock

8

Pollock

 7

Conforto

2

Castillo

 

 

3

Aguilar

3

Aguilar

3

Aguilar

 5

Duffy

5

Duffy

 

 

7

Conforto

7

Culberson

5

Duffy

 2

Castillo

9

Santana

 

 

5

Duffy

5

Duffy

7

Anderson

 8

Pollock (a)

8

Pollock

 

 

4

Cabrera

4

Cabrera

4

Culberson

 4

Cabrera

4

Cabrera

 

 

2

Pina

2

Pina

2

Pina

All other lefty starters

Freeland, Happ

 

SWright, Pivetta, Marquez, Velasquez, Urena, Lorenzen, DeGrom, Teheran, Archer, Ross, Eflin, Arrieta, Perlata, Musgrove, LCastillo, Taillon, FPena, CMartinez

TWilliams, Senzatela, Lugo, Roark, Buehler, Morton, Verlander, Cole, Strasburg, Nova, Greinke, DRodriguez, Nola, Wheeler, Glasnow, Scherzer, Syndergaard, RLopez, McCullers, Porcello, Godley

Stripling, Buchholz
Richards, CAnderson, Hendricks, Hellickson, Gausman, Sanchez, Flaherty, Folty, Wacha, DHolland, Barria

 

Additional Notes on Lineup #1

Guidelines on Positions
We have only 13 position players this year, but lots of options at most positions (Happ and Culberson are utility players who can play almost every position). The most frequent use is discussed below:

 

WHEN YOUR LEFTY STARTER EXITS THE GAME BEFORE THE 6TH
Pina comes in for Castillo. I would look at COMPARE re Culberson or a replacement. Otherwise, wait until later in the game to get the best COMPARE option.

WHEN YOUR RIGHTY STARTER EXITS THE GAME BEFORE THE 6TH
Castillo comes in for Pina if I am losing. I would dump Happ, if he is playing. Otherwise, wait until later in the game to get the best COMPARE option.

Double-Switching
I like this to minimize the number of pinch hitters I must use for the pitcher’s batting slot. OF positions are the best spots to do this.

Defense Matrix – When possible,I would like Pollock in CF, Pina at C. Don’t worry about 1B, 2B, SS or 3B. Conforto in LF and Nimmo in RF.

MISCELLANEOUS

Pitcher hitting / Pinch hitting / Pinch running

 

Pitching

Starting Rotation
Pitching Rotation Road EASTLOOK HERE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Team

Game 1

Game 2

Game 3

Game 4

at UTP

Arrieta

Nola

Paxton

---

at STL

Paxton

Eflin

Strahm

---

at LAN

Arrieta

Nola

Paxton

---

at CHI

Arrieta

Nola

Eflin

---

at AUG

Arrieta

Nola

Eflin

---

at AZL

Arrieta

Paxton

Eflin

---

at VBS

Paxton

Nola

Strahm

---

Pitching rotation Road WESTLOOK HERE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Team

Game 1

Game 2

Game 3

Game 4

at BAG

Arrieta

Nola

Eflin

Ross

at CDS

Arrieta

Paxton

Eflin

Ross

at HAW

Arrieta

Nola

Paxton

Eflin

at LVB

Arrieta

Nola

Paxton

Eflin

at PBC

---

---

---

---

at SBM

Strahm

Nola

Paxton

Eflin

at SCT

Arrieta

Nola

Eflin

Ross

 

Pitching Rotation Home EAST


Team

Game 1

Game 2

Game 3

Game 4

UTP

Paxton

Nola

Eflin

---

STL

Paxton

Nola

Strahm

---

LAN

Paxton

Nola

Strahm

---

CHI

Paxton

Nola

Eflin

---

AGN

Arrieta

Paxton

Eflin

---

AZL

Arrieta

Paxton

Strahm

---

VBS

Arrieta

Paxton

Strahm

---

Pitching rotation Home WEST


Team

Game 1

Game 2

Game 3

Game 4

BAG

Arrieta

Nola

Eflin

Ross

CDS

Arrieta

Paxton

Eflin

Ross

HAW

Arrieta

Nola

Paxton

Eflin

LVB

Arrieta

Nola

Paxton

Eflin

PBC

---

---

---

---

SBM

Strahm

Nola

Paxton

Eflin

SCT

Arrieta

Nola

Eflin

Ross

# Starts:  Nola (20); Paxton (20); Arrieta (18); Eflin (19); Strahm (8), Ross (6)

Starters Summary

Pretty solid starting rotation and huge quantity of innings in pen. Nola is the workhorse, but I like to make frequent changes to try to take advantage of splits from the 6th or 7th inning, so complete games will be rare for the others.

Starting Pitcher Notes


Aaron Nola 212 IP

He is our #1 starter, goes the full complement of 20 times, and he can go long and hard pitching until dots, or he can be pulled in the 8th or 9th for a PH if we are losing. If we are tied in the 8th or 9th, PH for him unless there are two outs and no one is on. If we are winning, he stays in until dots.

James Paxton 160 IP

#2 LEFTY starter, also goes 20 times, and generally he can go until dots with the same PH proviso as Nola (above).  The other way he gets yanked is when a Ly crusher (Luke Voit, Jose Briceno, Carlos Villanueva types, you know who you are…as well as “4L” or greater hitters. If a bop makes a difference in the game, we need to either intentionally walk him (if possible and makes sense), or find a Ry reliever.  Long way of saying “don’t let a Ly masher beat him”.

Jake Arrieta 173 IP

#3 Starter will go 18 times with no innings restriction. He can go until dots through 6, but is batter by batter from the 7th on looking to avoid or minimize Ly bats in situations where there are base runners and it is close. He will be first in each of the series, so the pen will provide lots of options. OK to PH for him in 7th or later if it is an important situation. I led the PCL in most innings by a bullpen if that helps advise.

Zach Eflin 128 IP

#4 Starter will go 19 times which means a strict 7 inning max limit (I think he will be much less often) That would put him 5 over, so I will closely monitor at home. Same thoughts as Jake (above), except even more so as we reach the 7th and especially “at Chicago”. Do PH for him in 7th if we are tied or losing.  Quick quick quick hook at Hawaii beginning in 5th.

Matt Strahm 61 IP

#5 Starter LEFTY swing man will get 8 nods with a strict 5 inning limit (since he is a 4 inning starter, he would be in dots anyway if you left him in the 6th). Great if you can get the 5 innings, but he needs to avoid Ly mashers, especially if they are Ly hitters, so he may sometimes not make it that far. Out if dots, or, in the 5th if facing any of that group referenced under Paxton above. If he gets the full 40 innings out of his 8 starts, then he is a situational Ly who gets a couple of Ry batters out here and there for the other 21 innings.

Tyson Ross 150 IP

#6 Starter swing man will get 6 nods with no innings limit. He kills Rys but needs a close watch/quick hook versus Ly hitters in the 5th and later if that occurs in a close game. He will always have a 7 pitcher pen behind him so I don’t need him to deep into games. Assuming he does go 7 innings per start (kind of a stretch), that leaves him 108 bull pen innings to be a Ry situational reliever.  He also mops when we are getting crushed.

Specific innings limitations

When applicable, it is referenced above. I don’t leave a starter in even if he is pitching a no-no. Tough noogies.

 

Bullpen

Peb won’t win by mashing the ball.  They wil win if I can keep getting the best splits matchup with the relievers. I have 497 innings of relief, and I never have both swing men starting in the same series, so I will always have at least 7 options (sometimes 8). Treinen is the workhorse, when the game is close, and the rest likely face only a few batters. Many of the below listed relievers are “specialists”, so there are lots of “2 out of 3” type decisions and so 3-4 relievers per game should be the guideline.


Closer

Blake Treinen (80 IP) is nails and has gobs of innings, so he is a 2 inning closer. Use and abuse.

Righty Set-up  

No one person.  It’s going to be a committee of the 6 below referenced pitchers to face a few batters and to avoid imbalances.

Situational - Righty gets the Ry

Drew Steckenrider (65 IP) is tough on Rys, but you need to avoid multiple Lys because of his diamond HRs. Pedro Baez (56) is a decent middle innings man, but the walks and bad hold rating versus lefties keep him away from later tight situations. Ross (see above) also is tough on Rys. He can be a long man or mop also.

Situational - Righty gets the Ly

Corey Knebel (55 IP) and Brandon Woodruff (42 IP) are both good options to come in for Arrieta or Eflin if you have loaded up a heavy Ly starting lineup.

Lefties

Felipe Vazquez fka Rivero (70 IP) is your loogy, but it is not the end of the world for him to face righties. He can go 1 or 2 innings in the middle of games to turn your lineup around, and he can be a setup guy. Strahm (see above) can be situational to get a Ry or two out, but should not go beyond 1 inning.

 

Have fun!

 

 

2018 PCL Awards:

2018 Champs: Hawaii Alii

2018 MVP Voting:

MVP: Giancarlo Stanton, SCT

Cy Young: Zach Greinke, HAW

2018 ALL STARS:

C: Buster Posey, STL

1b: Anthony Rizzo, LAN

2b: Daniel Murphy, AZL

SS: Zach Cozart, LVB

3b: Kris Bryant, CHI

OF: Giancarlo Stanton, SCT

OF: Charlie Blackmon, HAW

OF: JD. Martinez, AGN

Manager: Jim

GM: Jim

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