2018 Arizona Lightning Insructions

 

2018 Instructions
Zona got their hearts broken last year, first winning the Central and amassing the best overall record in the PCL, then dismissing heavy early-season favorite Lancaster to get to the World Series, only to come crashing down to eventual Champ, Chicago, in a marathon game #6 that included losing a bop by a player jumping over the wall and having the winning run score but then get blocked at the plate by Jett Bandy of all people (glad he is not in the league this year!). Ouch. I knew it was all or nothing in 2017 in May when all 5 Bolt starting pitchers were on the DL at the same time. So now it is re-build time with prospects and bets on rebound or improvement years for pitchers. My goal is for half my 12 pitchers and 4 minor league pitchers to have a decent year in real life so we get better postured for 2019. Zona can still hit so they will still have some fun.   

Hitting
Starting Line-ups


Lineup 1, vs. L

Lineup 2, vs. L

Lineup 3, vs. R

Lineup 4, vs. R

Lineup 5, vs. R

6

Cabrera

5

Cabrera

6

Simmons

6

Simmons

6

Simmons

8

Yelich

4

Forsythe

8

Yelich

8

Yelich

3

Votto

3

Votto

3

Votto

3

Votto

3

Votto

7

Cespedes

7

Cespedes

7

Cespedes

7

Cespedes

7

Cespedes

4

Murphy

9

Parra

9

Parra

4

Murphy

4

Murphy

9

Haniger

4

Murphy

2

Zunino

9

Aoki

9

Haniger

2

Zunino

2

Zunino

6

Simmons

2

Barnhart

2

Barnhart/Zunino (a)

8

Yelich

5

Seager

8

Yelich

5

Seager

5

Seager

5

Seager

Versus:
Kershaw, Paxton, Montgomery, Hill, Ryu

Versus:
Bumgarner, Happ, Ray, Hamels, Lester, Quintana, Wood, GGonzalez, Corbin

Versus:
Despaigne, Lamet, Roark, Williams, Darvish, E.Ramirez, Martinez, Nova, Stratton, Kuhl, Hernandez, Taillon, J.Ramirez, Scherzer, Arrieta

Versus:
All Right Handed Pitchers not listed in Lineups 3 or 5

Versus:
Delgado, Gray, Davies, Weaver, Norris, Hellickson, Greinke, 

Additional Notes on Lineup #4

Guidelines on Positions
We have only 13 position players this year, so we need to keep the early switches down to a low roar. Cespedes usage is discussed below and there are no other usage issues.

 

WHEN YOUR LEFTY STARTER EXITS THE GAME BEFORE THE 6TH
For righty relievers entering the game within the first 4 innings, no changes unless you have no other lefty relievers. If you have no other lefty relievers or in the 5th or 6th, Cabrera is thanked and excused, bringing in Seager or Simmons, as applicable.  Murphy for Forsythe if it is close or if we are in a big situation. If we are way ahead, leave Forsythe in.

WHEN YOUR RIGHTY STARTER EXITS THE GAME BEFORE THE 6TH
I’d like to get a bat into Cabrera’s or Parra’s hands, but not if you are just going to bring in a righty reliever again. Barnhart can stay in if I am up 3 or more, but Zunino comes in if close.

Double-Switching
I like this to minimize the number of pinch hitters I must use for the pitcher’s batting slot. OF is the best spot.

Defense Matrix – Starters are listed first and the best defensive players are in bold. Subject to the above notes under Guidelines on Positions, look to move to the best defensive player with a lead of 3+ in the 7th, 2+ in the 8th, and any lead in the 9th. This strategy should include consideration of the player’s spot in the lineup favoring removal after a late AB:


C

1B

2B

SS

3B

LF*

CF

RF*

Zunino

Votto

Murphy

Simmons

Seager

Cespedes

Pollock

Haniger

Barnhart

Parra

Forsythe

Cabrera

Forsythe

Parra

Parra

Parra

 

Forsythe

Cabrera

Forsythe

Cabrera

Haniger

Haniger

Aoki

 

 

 

 

 

Aoki

 

 

(*) My preferences for the corner OF spots are: Parra 1st in RF, Haniger second in LF or RF, and Cespedes 3rd.  Any two is just fine – just not Aoki if possible.

MISCELLANEOUS

Pitcher hitting / Pinch hitting / Pinch running

 

Pitching

Starting Rotation

 

YOUR GAMES (to play at your park)

 

 

 

My Games (played at The Bob)

 

Opp.

Game #1

Game #2

Game#3

 

 

 

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

 

BAG

Paxton

Stratton

Monty

 

 

 

Monty

Paxton

Suter

 

LVB

Paxton

Lugo

Monty

 

 

 

Monty

Paxton

Suter

 

SBM

Paxton

Suter

Monty

 

 

 

Monty

Paxton

Suter

 

SCT

Castillo

Lugo

Stratton

 

 

 

Castillo

Paxton

Lugo

 

AZL

XXXXX

XXXXX

XXXXX

 

 

 

XXXXX

XXXXX

XXXXX

 

AUG

Castillo

Lugo

Stratton

 

 

 

Lugo

Paxton

Suter

 

LAN

Castillo

Lugo

Stratton

 

 

 

Lugo

Paxton

Suter

 

HAW

Paxton

Monty

Suter

 

 

 

Monty

Paxton

Suter

 

CHI

Castillo

Lugo

Stratton

 

 

 

Castillo

Monty

Lugo

 

PBC

Suter

Monty

Stratton

 

 

 

Monty

Lugo

Suter

 

STL

Paxton

Monty

Suter

 

 

 

Monty

Paxton

Suter

 

VBS

Castillo

Lugo

Stratton

 

 

 

Castillo

Paxton

Lugo

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Divisional Games – AWAY GAMES

 

 

Divisional Games – Home Games

Opp.

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

Game #4

 

 

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

Game #4

AGN

Castillo

Paxton

Lugo

Stratton

 

 

Castillo

Paxton

Monty

Lugo

HAW

Castillo

Paxton

Monty

Suter

 

 

Castillo

Paxton

Monty

Suter

LAN

Castillo

Paxton

Lugo

Stratton

 

 

Castillo

Paxton

Monty

Lugo

# Starts:  Paxton (20); Montgomery (17); Lugo (16); Castillo (14); Suter (14); Stratton (9)

Starters Summary

I have three lefty starters this year – ouch.  Six-man rotation and several have innings limits, so we will need lots o’ pen help.  No starter can complete a game for one reason or another, so get ready for many relievers. Use the “PCL Rule” (i.e. PH in top of 4th, out if dots, pitched 4 innings, or if given up 4 runs) on Stratton. All pitchers out if in dots. I tried but failed to have my lefties pitch only at home. I will PH for any pitcher in the 7th or later if we are losing, 6th or later with the lefties, and much earlier with Stratton.  Specific innings limitations are listed below.

Starting Pitcher Notes


Luis Castillo 89 IP

He is our #1 starter, but with only 89 innings he will only get 14 starts (x6 = 84 giving him 5 opportunities to go 7). I am hoping to average 6 innings per start. He can pitch the 7th if he is cruising, but no more.

James Paxton 136 IP

Very strong card, but he is a lefty. May go 7 innings but no more.  Beginning in the 7th I would hate to face a lefty bopper who can tie the game or take the lead, so go batter by batter.

Mike Montgomery 131 IP

Another decent card, but another lefty (gee, what must I have been thinking?). Only 17 starts means he can go 7 innings max, but he comes out for a PH if we are tied or losing in 6th and later.

Seth Lugo 101 IP

Disappointing year got him cut from sister team, Peb. Diamond problems versus Rys and on base problems versus Lys, so pick your poison. 5 innings would be great, and 6 innings would be a jackpot! 16 starts and 6 inning max. You can PH for him in the top of the 6th if it is close.

Brent Suter 82 IP

Loogy who got thrust into the rotation out of necessity. 14 starts with strict 6 inning limit (I will monitor that during home games).  He only pitches on the road versus HAW and in the 4 game set versus STL. Weakness against Rys means quick hook v HAW, and maybe some patience against STL where ballpark dimensions will help him.

Chris Stratton 59 IP

3rd Ry starter pitching exclusively on the road (9 starts with strict 6 inning limit). It’s pretty rough against Ly hitters so quick hook guidelines apply

 

Bullpen

Having a 6-man starting rotation means I have only 6 bullpen pitchers, but they are able to provide 393 innings of relief. I have pitchers for every occasion, but it will not always be possible to get the perfect matchup and that’s ok as long as you try with the first 3 hitters due up.   

Closer

Addison Reed (79 IP) is a workhorse who can go two innings if we are leading after 7. Use and abuse.

Righty Set-up  

Carl Edwards, Jr. (66 IP) can work middle or late relief, particularly against predominantly Ly lineups. The walks versus righties are not ideal, but better than Kintzler below.

Situational - Righty gets the Ry

Brock Stewart (34 IP). Primarily a 1-inning or less pitcher because of the low innings. 2 innings per series max. Good early solution to stop a rally.

Situational - Righty gets the Ly

Brandon Kintzler (71 IP) is nails against heavy Ly lineups, but his “6L” rating means he should not really face multiple Rys., especially in parks where the diamond HR is 8 or more.

Lefties

Justin Wilson (58 IP) is the loogy and also the mop when I am getting crushed. Chris Rusin (85 IP) is the lefty who gets the Rys out. He can be a good long man, especially against heavily Ry lineups.  He can also pitch later in the game where the situation merits a lefty.

 

 

2017 PCL Awards:

2017 Champs:Chicago Black Sox

2017 MVP Voting:

MVP: Mike Trout, BAG

Cy Young: Tie. Noah Syndergaard, AZL and Kyle Hendricks, AGN

2017 ALL STARS:

C: Yadier Molina, HAW

1b: Miguel Cabrera, STL

2b: Robinson Cano, LVB

SS: Cory Seager, LAN

3b: Nolan Arenado, LAN

OF: Mike Trout, BAG

OF: Trea Turner, CHI

OF: Ryan Braun, AGN

Manager: Bob

GM: Jim

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