2017 Arizona Lightning Insructions

 

Arizona
Lightning
2017

The PCL               

Photo: Lightning over the Grand Canyon in Arizona

AZL image

 

2017 Instructions

The Bolts had a long hard season last year, but they at least got Votto and Seager back and Murphy had a monster year, so the hitting will be fairly decent.

                                                            Starting Line-ups


Lineup 1 v. Left

Lineup 2 v. Left

Lineup 3 – v. R

Lineup 4 – v. R

Lineup 5 – v. R

6

Cabrera

8

Ichiro

7

Aoki

9

Werth

7

Aoki/Cespedes

3

Votto

4

Murphy

8

Pederson

3

Votto

8

Pederson

7

Cespedes

3

Votto

3

Votto

7

Cespedes

3

Votto

9

Werth

7

Cespedes

4

Murphy

4

Murphy

4

Murphy

4

Murphy

9

Werth

5

Seager

5

Seager

5

Seager

2

Zunino

6

Cabrera

9

Moss/Ichiro

2

Zunino

9

Moss/Ichiro/Werth

8

Ichiro

2

Zunino

2

Barnhart

8

Pederson

2

Barnhart

5

Rosales

5

Seager

6

Cabrera

6

Cabrera

6

Cabrera

VersusLester, Montgomery, Bumgarner, Hill, Kershaw, Hamels, Moore

Versus:  Happ,  and Matz.

Versus: Arrieta, Hellickson, Colon, Hammel, Lackey, Nicasio, Eickoff, Cole, Martinez, Nova, Ross, Maeda, Samardzija,  Bradley, Taillon, Wainwright, Cueto, Eovaldi, Hernandez, and Scherzer.

Versus:  Karns, Leake, Nolasco, Degrom, Strasburg, Greinke, Kennedy, Gray, Foltynewicz,  Koehler, Wacha, and Walker.

Versus: Roark, Wisler, Straily, Hendricks, and Chacin, Shoemaker, Chatwood, Iwakuma,  Rea, Velasquez, De La Rosa.

In lineups #3 and #4, ballpark HR dimensions control: 9 or > = Moss over Ichiro, 8 or less = Ichiro; and same analysis for Cespedes: 9 or more for the Ry = Cespedes and 8 or less = Aoki.  Also in lineup #4, use “compare” to see if Werth beats out Moss or Ichiro (I’m thinking of heavy Ry ballparks like SCT and LAN where Werth might actually be better).

Hitter/Platoon Instructions:
Several positions are set with the platoons at C and the OF spots:
C:  Tucker Barnhart plays against most righties, and Mike Zunino (164 ABs) plays against lefties and those righties where you must bat right handed.  Barnhart comes out for lefty relievers, but be judicious with Zunino if you still have a lefty reliever available.  If not, Barnhart can come in for Z.  
1B:   Joey Votto plays all day every day and does not come out.  In case of injury, Moss (v righties) or Rosales (v lefties).
2B:   Daniel Murphy plays all day every day and does not come out.  Rosales is the only sub if there is an injury.
SS:   Asdrubal Cabrera plays all day every day and does not come out.  Miguel Rojas, or Kyle Seager if desperate for offense, in case of injury.  Rosales is the only sub if there is an injury.

3B:  Kyle Seager plays almost every day, but Adam Rosales may get a nod or two against tough lefties where you must bat right handed.  Rosales is also the only injury sub.  Rosales comes out for a righty reliever, but leave Seager in unless it is the 9th inning and we are losing and your Loogy comes in specifically for Kyle; in which case Rosales can PH.  Loogy = Hand, Liberatore, Buchter, Dayton, Lyons and Logan.

OF:  I again have 6 outfielders that can contribute and split time.  Yoenis Cespedes plays LF against all lefties and those righties where you need to bat right handed.  Don’t remove him once in.  Nori Aoki can play LF versus righties if you must bat left handed, and Cespedes replaces him if a lefty reliever comes in.  Otherwise Aoki is just a pinch hitter.  CF is shared by Joc Pederson (versus righties), and Ichiro (versus lefties).  Joc comes out when a lefty comes in, but leave Ichiro in if you still have a lefty reliever available.  Brandon Moss starts in RF against righties pitching in smaller parks (i.e. BP HR is 9 or more), and Ichiro plays RF against righties in the larger parks (i.e. BP HR is 8 or less).  Jason Werth plays RF against all lefties.  Werth can be thanked and excused for a righty reliever (using “compare” always safe), unless we are way up and you still have a lefty available later.  

  
Late defensive switches
Seager in at 3B.  No changes at C, 1B, 2B or SS.  In the OF, the best trio is Cespedes in LF, Pederson in CF and Ichiro in RF, if possible.

Situational

Intentional Walks


Pitching Rotation –

YOU PLAY THESE (LOOK HERE):                          …I play these home games:

 

Away Games

 

 

Home Games

 

Opp.

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

 

 

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

 

BAG

Stripling

Syndergaard

Rusin

 

 

Paxton

Guerra

Rusin

 

LVB

Desclafani

Syndergaard

Paxton

 

 

Paxton

Guerra

Syndergaard

 

SBM

Desclafani

Syndergaard

Rusin

 

 

Stripling

Guerra

Rusin

 

SCT

Desclafani

Syndergaard

Paxton

 

 

Paxton

Guerra

Syndergaard

 

PBC

Desclafani

Syndergaard

Paxton

 

 

Paxton

Guerra

Rusin

 

AGN

Guerra

Syndergaard

Desclafani

 

 

Stripling

Guerra

Paxton

 

HAW

Guerra

Syndergaard

Desclafani

 

 

Syndergaard

Guerra

Rusin

 

LAN

Rusin

Syndergaard

Desclafani

 

 

Syndergaard

Guerra

Desclafani

 

CHI

Stripling

Syndergaard

Desclafani

 

 

Stripling

Guerra

Desclafani

 

AZL

XXXXX

XXXXX

XXXXX

 

 

XXXXX

XXXXX

XXXXX

 

STL

Stripling

Guerra

Paxton

 

 

Stripling

Guerra

Paxton

 

VBS

Stripling

Syndergaard

Paxton

 

 

Stripling

Guerra

Paxton

 

 

Divisional Games – AWAY GAMES

 

Divisional Games – HOME GAMES

Opp.

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

Game #4

 

Game #1

Game #2

Game #3

Game #4

AUG

Guerra

Syndergaard

Stripling

Desclafani

 

Guerra

Syndergaard

Stripling

Rusin

HAW

Guerra

Syndergaard

Rusin

Desclafani

 

Guerra

Syndergaard

Stripling

Rusin

LAN

Guerra

Syndergaard

Rusin

Desclafani

 

Guerra

Syndergaard

Desclafani

Rusin

 

6 man rotation this year with each getting at least 12 starts!


Starter #1 Noah Syndergaard (use patience) 20 starts

Pretty much “long and hard” as he is my ace.  Comes out in dots, but show some patience otherwise.  Beginning in the 7th PH for him if we are losing.  Can complete the game if winning.

Starter #2 Junior Guerra (some patience) 20 starts

Out if dots, but some patience otherwise.  122 total innings means strict 6 inning max.  PH for him in the 7th , but if he doesn’t come up in the 7th, consider a double switch. 

Starter#3  Anthony Desclafani  (quick hook) 14 starts

AD looks great against righty hitters, but lefties are a problem for him.  If you stack up a lefty lineup (i.e. 5 or more), his goal will only be 5 innings and then PH.  123 innings but only 14 starts means usage is not an issue.   

Starter#4  Chris Rusin (some patience) 12 starts

One of two lefty starters, but decent enough.  12 starts in 84 innings means a 7 inning max (7 x 12 = 84), and he will not be an option to relieve.  Out if dots, and you can PH for him in the 6th or later if he comes up in an important moment with runners on or to start an inning.  I would sure hate to see him face a Ly masher in the 6th if it is a close game and there are runners on, but 6 innings is a good goal.   

Starter#5  James Paxton   (quick hook) 12 starts

Boy I wish I could have 2017 Paxton the way he is starting out; but unfortunately I have last year’s version who struggles against lefty hitters.  Same advice as Rusin above, but to also include that I don’t want to face a lefty masher who is also a lefty hitter.  I would love to get 5-6 innings out of him, but you may need to PH for him (even if not yet in dots) in the 5th or later if it is a key moment.  Batter by batter after the 4th.  The object is to get him out of there at the first reasonable opportunity!

Starter#6 and Swingman Rod Stripling (some patience) 12 starts

Out if dots and you can PH for him in the 6th if needed, especially if you have a string of righties coming up in the bottom half of the inning.  100 innings and a 6 inning max means he can use his other 28 innings for relief work.  He is a righty who gets the lefty out (a poor man’s Carl Edwards JR – see below).

 

BULLPEN –  7 relievers this year once you count Stripling’s leftovers, and 387 innings so there is lots of support (more than 4 innings per game).  Oh and Reed share the heavy late inning workload (see below), and the rest are more situational, so look at the next three batters in the early going and go with the pitcher who can do best against those three coming up. All that said, let the starter continue to get bopped, even if in dots, if he has already given the game away (i.e we are already down 5 or more before the 6th).  It’s called the “fight another day” strategy.

Closer:

Seung Hwan Oh (80 innings) should be used and abused as early as the 8th inning    

Setup:

Tony Watson (68 innings) from the left side, although I am not excited about his BP HRs v righty hitters in smaller parks.  Addison Reed (78 innings) is the righty and he can close if Oh is unavailable.  These three are the main go-to pitchers from the 6th on, and we don’t have to have a lead to go to them.  As long as we are close then use them.

2nd L’y/situational:

Justin Wilson (59 innings) is actually a screwball lefty who is better against the Ry, but there may be situations where he stays in face a Ly killer or two if the rest of the lineup is Ry.  He is also a good long relief option for Stripling or Guerra if you stacked your lineup with righties.  He is also unfortunately the mop if I am getting blown out.

R’y situational:

Tyler Cravy (28 innings) is the Roogy to come in early or mid-game to get a key Ry or two of three righties out.  Never more than an inning.  Carl Edwards, Jr. (36 innings) is the early option to nail a lefty batter or two of three lefties.  Same 1 inning max.  If Rod Stripling did not start in the series, he also brings 28 innings to perform the same task as Edwards (screwball Ry).

Good luck!

 

 

 

2016 PCL Awards:

2016 PCL Champion:

Santa Barbara Mooners

 

 

2016 MVP Voting:

MVP: B. Harper, LVB

Cy Young: J. Arriera, STL

2016 ALL STARS:

C: B. Posey, PBC

1b: J. Votto, AZL

2b: D. Gordon, STL

SS: Tie: B. Crawford, PBC; J. Peralta, AGN

3b: J. Kang, HAW

OF: B. Harper, LVB

OF: M. Trout, SCT

OF: R. Grichuk, SCT

Manager: Eric

GM: Mike

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